AI Replacement Risk Calculator
How safe is your job from AI? Get a personalized risk score, years-until-disruption estimate, and safer career pivots based on what you actually do.
How the score works
Three signals are blended: baseline role exposure (from OpenAI/UPenn GPT paper + Goldman Sachs AI report), your task mix (repetitive tasks carry the highest weight), and AI fluency — using AI yourself shifts you from "replaced" to "augmented".
Directional thinking aid. Real disruption depends on your company, location, and how fast you adapt.
Will AI Replace Your Job?
The honest answer: AI won't replace your job — someone using AI will. Studies from Goldman Sachs, OpenAI/UPenn, and McKinsey consistently show that AI displaces tasks, not whole jobs. Roles that are 80%+ repetitive get hit hardest; roles built on judgment, empathy, or physical presence change the slowest.
This calculator gives you a directional read — and more importantly, points you toward the kind of work that compounds in value as AI gets cheaper.
Repetitive = First
Anything rule-based, structured, or templated is automatable. Form-filling, data entry, basic copywriting, and routine code — these shrink first.
Judgment = Safer
Strategy, taste, context, and decisions under ambiguity remain hard for AI. Direction-setters outlast doers.
Trust = Moat
Therapy, leadership, sales, teaching — work that requires another human to trust you isn't going anywhere fast.
Hands ≠ Hardware
Trades, surgery, field engineering — robots are decades behind LLMs. Physical jobs are the most underpriced safe haven right now.